Real Estate Kelsey Caputo-Frins September 30, 2026
In many real estate markets, October signals the beginning of a seasonal slowdown. In the Florida Keys, it can mean the opposite.
Fall marks the transition into one of the most important periods of the year. Seasonal residents begin returning, winter travel increases, and second-home and luxury buyers start planning trips to South Florida.
For homeowners considering selling, that raises an important question:
Is October a good time to list a home in the Florida Keys?
For many properties, the answer is yes. October offers an opportunity to enter the market while 2026 sales activity remains strong and position a property ahead of the winter season.
But timing alone won't sell a home. Today's buyers have choices, making pricing, presentation and positioning particularly important.
October can be a strategic time to list because it puts a property in front of buyers before the heart of the winter selling season.
The Florida Keys don't follow the same seasonal real estate cycle as much of the country. As temperatures begin falling in northern states, South Florida becomes increasingly attractive.
And the luxury buyer's search often starts well before they arrive.
A buyer in New York, Chicago, Palm Beach or Miami may discover a Florida Keys property online in October, save it, share it with an advisor or spouse, and schedule a showing around Thanksgiving, Christmas or an upcoming winter trip.
Listing in October allows that process to begin before peak season rather than waiting until buyers are already here.
The Florida Keys are entering fall with encouraging momentum.
According to Florida Keys MLS data from January 1 through September 29, 1,498 residential properties have sold in 2026—up 10% from the same period last year. Closed sales volume has increased approximately 25% to nearly $2.2 billion, while the average sale price has risen 14% to approximately $1.47 million.
At the same time, active inventory is down approximately 1%, new listings are down 3%, and the number of properties going under contract is up 5%. Properties have sold at approximately 94% of list price on average, compared with 93% during the same period in 2025.
The Upper Keys have been particularly active.
Key Largo closed sales are up 23% year over year, with sales volume increasing 40% to more than $332 million and the average sale price rising 13% to approximately $1.29 million. Islamorada sales are up 18%, while closed dollar volume has increased 29% to more than $253 million and the average sale price has reached approximately $2.06 million.
The takeaway for sellers is important:
BUYERS ARE BUYING!
More properties are selling, more properties are going under contract, and significantly more dollars are moving through the Florida Keys real estate market than during the same period last year.
That creates a strong backdrop heading into October—but it does not mean buyers will overlook an overpriced or poorly positioned property.
Waiting until January can sound logical. More seasonal residents are physically in the Keys, tourism is strong, and winter weather elsewhere makes Florida particularly appealing.
But there is an advantage to getting there first.
A property launched in October has time to accumulate online exposure, appear in saved searches, reach prospective buyers and be introduced through agent and referral networks before winter travel peaks.
For luxury properties, this matters even more.
A multimillion-dollar waterfront estate has a much smaller buyer pool than the average residential property. The right buyer may live hundreds or thousands of miles away and may discover the home through another luxury agent, targeted advertising, editorial coverage, social media or a private introduction.
Luxury marketing requires time. October allows the campaign to begin before peak season arrives.
One strategy I would approach carefully this fall is:
“Let's start high because season is coming. We can always reduce it later.”
The first few weeks on the market are valuable.
Buyers waiting for that type of property receive alerts. Agents notice new inventory. Listing platforms identify it as new. Marketing begins reaching prospective buyers.
If the property immediately appears significantly overpriced relative to its competition, much of that initial attention can be lost.
A later price reduction may bring the property into the correct range—but the listing is no longer new.
That does not mean sellers should price below market value.
Unique properties should command premiums when those premiums are supported by something tangible: superior waterfront, exceptional dockage, acreage, privacy, construction quality, rental rights, location, condition or characteristics that would be difficult to reproduce.
The goal is not to price low. It is to price strategically enough that buyers understand the property's value from the beginning.
In the Keys, two homes with similar square footage can have dramatically different values.
For waterfront properties, buyers should understand the water as clearly as the house itself: dockage, controlling depth, seawall condition, boat-lift capacity, canal width, bridge restrictions and distance to open water can all materially affect value.
The home itself brings another set of considerations, including roof age, impact protection, elevation, flood considerations, insurance, construction quality, permitting history and deferred maintenance.
For investment properties, legal rental frequency and local restrictions can become equally important.
A Florida Keys home isn't simply bedrooms, bathrooms and square footage.
The strongest marketing explains the characteristics that make a property valuable—and difficult to replace.
Preparation should begin with the fundamentals.
Before listing, organize permits and property records where available, understand roof and impact-window information, gather elevation and flood documentation, and address obvious maintenance issues.
For waterfront properties, make sure docks, seawalls, boat lifts and outdoor areas present properly.
Then consider presentation.
Florida Keys buyers are purchasing a lifestyle alongside the real estate. Professional photography and video should show not only the home, but how the property is actually experienced—the waterfront, boating access, outdoor entertaining areas, views, privacy and connection between indoor and outdoor living.
For luxury properties, the marketing strategy may extend well beyond the MLS to include cinematic video, drone imagery, dedicated property websites, targeted advertising, editorial exposure, social media, direct buyer outreach and luxury-agent networks.
The objective isn't simply to put the home online.
It is to put it in front of the buyers most likely to value it.
October is also an important time to reassess an existing listing.
If a property has accumulated significant days on market without meaningful activity, the arrival of season alone may not change the result.
Look at the evidence. Has the market responded to the price?
How does the property compare with today's active competition?
What feedback are buyers consistently providing?
Does the photography accurately represent the property?
Is its strongest differentiator immediately obvious online?
And perhaps most importantly:
Is the marketing strategy materially different today than it was when the property first launched?
A new season does not automatically produce a new result if the strategy remains unchanged.
For many sellers, October 2026 presents a compelling opportunity.
Florida Keys residential sales are running 10% ahead of the same period last year, closed dollar volume is approximately 25% higher, and the average sale price has increased 14%—all while active inventory remains slightly below last year's level.
At the same time, the Keys are approaching the winter season, when seasonal residents and prospective second-home buyers return to South Florida.
That combination makes October less about trying to predict the single “best” month to sell and more about positioning a property before the next wave of buyers arrives.
The sellers best positioned to take advantage of that opportunity will be the ones who enter the market with the right price, exceptional presentation, a clear understanding of what makes their property valuable, and a marketing strategy capable of reaching buyers well beyond the Florida Keys.
Fall isn't the end of the selling season in the Florida Keys. It is the beginning of the next one.
Kelsey Caputo-Frins is a Florida Keys real estate advisor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Keys Real Estate, specializing in luxury waterfront residences, investment properties and redevelopment opportunities throughout the Florida Keys. A fourth-generation Florida Keys resident with a background in architecture, construction and interior design, Kelsey brings a property-focused perspective to pricing, positioning and marketing Florida Keys real estate.
Florida Keys MLS statistics compare January 1–September 29, 2026 with the same period in 2025. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. Market conditions vary significantly by island, neighborhood, price range, property type and waterfront characteristics.
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